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Blue Harbinger Weekly

Am I Diversified? How Many Stocks Should I Own?

This week's Blue Harbinger weekly is a direct follow-up to a member inquiry about "what is an appropriate number of stocks to own?" First of all, if you’re going to put a significant portion of your nest egg in the market, you probably don’t want to put it all in just one stock (too risky!) But how many positions should you hold? There are academic studies that suggest at least 25 to 30 stocks is enough to garner all the main benefits of diversification, but still—there are additional important things you need to consider. This article describes how we construct our portfolios at Blue Harbinger, and will hopefully help you garner some important ideas as you build and manage your own.

Holdings & Performance Update: More Gains, More Opportunities

All three Blue Harbinger strategies delivered positive total returns in August (+5.2%, +2.3% and +3.4%), and the yields are attractive too (5.1%, 6.28%, 1.5%). This report provides details on performance and holdings, and provides updates on the biggest movers over the last month. We continue to believe these strategies are attractively positioned for continuing long-term market out performance (income and price appreciation).

Tempting 8.3% Yield, Price Upside, On This New, Oil & Gas, Small Cap

This week’s Weekly highlights an increasingly attractive high-yield, oil & gas, small cap that began trading earlier this year. It’s a case where some investors gave up very big long-term income in exchange for upfront cash via an IPO. It pays monthly, and the shares just sold-off, as shown in the chart. We consider the attractive qualities and the risks, and conclude with our bottom line views.

The Most Loved & Hated Big-Dividend REITS

CBL and Tanger are two very hated retail REITs right now considering 40.3% and 53.0% of their shares (respectively) were recently sold short, and 0.0% of the Wall Street analysts covering them have a “buy” recommendation. Conversely, one of the big-dividend REITs we like and own has a negligible amount of short interest, and 100% of the Wall Street analysts covering it rate it a “buy,” as shown in the green bar chart. This update shares performance metrics on over 100 big dividend REITs, makes a few observations, and then highlights a couple of our favorites.

Is The Economy Flashing Danger Ahead For Stocks? Here’s How To Be Prepared

The following table shows performance (total returns) for various style, sector and asset class ETFs. It also tells a story about where we are in the current classic economic cycle (not early!), and has implications for investors (i.e. now may not be the right time to get greedy). In this report, we review the data, share a prominent “selective data driven narrative,” and share our own opinion, before concluding with our viewpoint on how to be prepared.

3 High-Income Plays That Just Sold-Off

If you like high income and attractively discounted prices, this article has 3 ideas for you to consider. The ideas range from equity CEFs to bonds to high-yield BDCs, but they all have two things in common: (1) high income, and (2) attractively discounted prices. Without further ado, here is the list...

All Blue Harbinger Strategies Up (Again) in July, More Gains, More Income Ahead

Don't be this guy! As many investors got burned last month with overly concentrated "hyper-growth" portfolios, our performance continues to be strong, and we like our holdings going forward. Some of our under-priced securities started to post the big gains we believe they're overdue for, and a couple positions sold off, thereby making them even more attractive going forward; we will review those (and our overall performance) in this report.

Attractive 8.3% Yield CEF, On Sale, Lower Risk

This particular Closed-End Fund (CEF) offers a big 8.3% yield, and it is currently trading at an attractively large discount to its net asset value (NAV). This article explains why this particular CEF presents a very attractive buying opportunity, and we also review the risk factors that investors should be aware of. If you like high-income and less downside risk, this one is worth considering.

Forget FANG: 100 High-Yield Stocks On Sale, These 4 Are Worth Considering

Netflix announced lower than expected subscriber growth numbers after the market closed, and the shares are down more than 13% in afterhours trading. This is a good reminder of the volatility and risks of FANG-type stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google/Alphabet) which have been performing extremely well, but have very high valuations. This article contrasts FANG stocks with data on over 100 high-yield stocks that have sold-off significantly this year and may be worth considering if you are an income-focused value investor. We also highlight four of our favorite opportunities from the list.

Holdings & Performance Update: More Gains, More Income Ahead

All three Blue Harbinger strategies continue to deliver positive total returns and the yields are attractive too. This report provides details on performance and holdings, and provides updates on the biggest movers over the last month. We continue to believe these strategies are attractively positioned for continuing long-term market out performance (income and price appreciation).

Want In On The Next Big Thing?... Consider This...

Perhaps one of the most overused analogies from all of sports (because it's so good) is from legendary hockey player Wayne Gretsky: "I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been." This week's Blue Harbinger Weekly shares an attractive, growing, opportunity, that is becoming increasingly tempting as the shares have sold-off. This is one that backward-looking industry professionals may never see coming, until it's too late...

Blue Harbinger Weekly: Wide-Ranging Attractive Opportunities

Sometimes simply comparing a diverse opportunity set can help you see things in a valuable new light. This week’s Weekly reviews a specific growth stock on sale, shares a list of over 400 stocks with yields over 5% (many of which we have written about, and some of which we own), and finally considers the attractiveness of selling income-generating “covered call options” on two of the higher yielding securities on our list.

Holdings & Performance Update: Market Sector & Landscape Dynamics

All Blue Harbinger strategies delivered positive returns and outperformed the S&P 500 in May, thereby continuing their growing long-term track records of outperformance. This report provides details on performance and holdings, and provides updates on our biggest movers over the last month. We also provide a dashboard on market sector dynamics, that we believe is worth  considering.

More Good News on Current Holdings: China Deal, A Consolidation, And Small Caps

We’ve had more very positive moves in three of our current holdings, and there are reasons to believe these upward trends will continue. In particular, the evolving trade deal with China could be very beneficial to one of our industrial stock holdings, one of our energy sector stocks just received a nice upward bump following consolidation news subsequent to new FERC regulations, and a certain small cap play is poised for a continued strong rally.

Prospect Capital: 11.3% Yield, Hard to Hate at This Price

Big-dividend (+11.3% yield) BDC Prospect Capital is very hated right now, which is a big part of the reason it is increasing attractive to us from a contrarian income-focused standpoint. PSEC announced quarterly earnings on Wednesday, and exceeded street estimates on NII by a penny ($0.19 vs $0.18), and maintained the monthly dividend at $0.06--which is covered by NII.

Retirement Stocks: 2 Unloved, Dividend-Paying, Consumer Staples

“Investing is the only business I know that when things go on sale, people run out of the store” – Mark Yusko

If you are looking for high-flying aggressive growth stocks, this article is NOT for you. However, if you are an income-focused contrarian investor, you may want to consider the ideas presented in this article. In particular, you may have noticed that consumer staples stocks have been significantly lagging the rest of the market lately…

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