Yesterday (Tuesday) was the worst day for stocks since mid 2020 (when Covid lockdowns were being announced) because a higher than expected inflation number (CPI) spooked investors. And as the Fed fights aggressively to battle inflation (with interest rate hikes) some pundits believe the Fed is going WAY too far, and deflation is now the bigger risk.
Are You Panicking Over This Morning's CPI Number?
So the much anticipated monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation number was released this morning. The year-over-year number ticked slightly higher (even though gas prices are down) and the market is selling off hard. Here are four ways to keep the media’s unrelenting sensationalized fearmongering in check as you stay focused on your investment goals.
Top Software Stocks: Massive Growth, Lower Valuations, Inflation Catalysts Ahead
Here are 85 high-growth software stocks, sorted by market cap. As a group they have performed very badly this year (as the fed raises rates to fight inflation), but as you can see there is a very noticeable difference in valuation between the 10 largest and the 10 smallest. This includes price-to-sales ratios (the large caps have much higher multiples), price versus 52-week range (the large caps have fallen a lot less) and more. In this note, we share a few points about this group, and discuss the upcoming CPI number as a catalyst.
S&P 500: 25 Biggest Yields with 10+ Years Dividend Growth
Exciting Long-Term Opportunities: New Market Paradigm
This month’s Blue Harbinger Thinker is now available. In this report, we share our thoughts on current market conditions and how we believe investors should be playing it. We also share updated performance and holdings for our Income Equity and Disciplined Growth portfolios, a few top investment ideas, and then we conclude with a few important takeaways and links to more investment opportunities that we hope you will find useful.
40 Big-Dividend Mortgage REITs: Terrible YTD as Spreads Widen, Rates Rise, Fed Unwinds, Housing Risks
In theory, Mortgage REITs (or mREITs) do well when interest rates rise, but so far this year they have done poorly because MBS spreads have risen sharply (an indication of risk). Here is a look at 40 big-dividend mREITs, plus some insights on what is happening to their share prices (mainly courtesy of the Fed’s balance sheet), and then a few mREIT investment ideas worth considering.
A Warning from Blue Harbinger
Market Check In: 10,000 Foot View
Intuit Quarterly Earnings Update
Intuit (the financial platform behind TurboTax, QuickBooks, MailChimp, CreditKarma and Mint) released earnings on Tuesday after the close, and they were positive. The company beat expectations on revenue and earnings, and also raised forward earnings guidance. This note is a quick review of the latest results.
Big-Dividend REITs: The Worst and Best Performers YTD
There are around 50 RIETs (traded on NYSE and Nasdaq) that currently offer at least a 5% dividend yield. Here they are sorted by year-to-date performance. While most are down a lot this year, on average the group is down around 12%—about the same as the S&P 500. In particular, there are a few on the list that are worth taking a closer look.
Morning Tea Leaves: Interest Rates Still Driving Markets
Is The Market Ahead of Itself? A few Data Points to Consider
Here is a look at the S&P 500 (including its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages). As you can see, it’s still down significantly this year, but has rebounded hard since June. The question some investors are wondering is if they should take some chips off the table before the downtrend resumes. Afterall, inflation is still sky high, the fed is still raising rates aggressively and your account balance is likely a lot higher than it was 2-months ago. We share a few data points and our opinion in this note.
Chip Stocks Volatile 2022—Weighing the Opportunity Ahead
Here is a look at the volatile performance of some of the largest and most popular semiconductor (chip) stocks so far this year. As you can see based on the green bars, performance has been very strong over the last month, but they are still down a lot this year (red bars). Some investors may view these stocks as still too expensive based on the current valuation (EV/EBITDA), but that is not necessarily the case when you compare these stocks to their strong revenue growth rates (this year and next) and their very healthy net margins.
Two High-Income CEFs Worth Considering
When investing in closed-end funds (CEFs), we look for a variety of things, including a big distribution payment, an attractively-discounted price (versus NAV), reasonable leverage, and attractive management team, and a strategy that can succeed (especially in current market conditions). The following two CEFs meet all of these requirements, and they are particularly interesting and worth considering for investment right now.
S&P 100: 10 Best, 10 Worst (YTD)
50 Top Growth Stocks, Down Big
It’s been an ugly year for top growth stocks. The fed has been raising rates aggressively to battle sky-high inflation, and that has the side effect of causing high growth stocks to sell off particularly hard. For example, here is a look at 50 high-growth stocks (those with very high expected revenue growth rates for this year and next), sorted by market cap (and as you can see—the year-to-date total return column has a lot or red!).
A Warning: As Markets Continue to Rally
70 Yields Over 7% (with Big YTD Price Declines)
With the market posting strong gains over the last month (particularly high growth stocks) it can make sense to focus on areas receiving less attention. And in this report, that includes big-dividend investment opportunities that are still down big year-to-date. More specifically, we share data on 70 investments that currently yield over 7% and have experienced significant share price declines so far this year. The list includes REITs, BDCs, CEFs and more.
The Economic Bears vs The Stock Market Bulls: We have chosen our side!
This month’s Blue Harbinger Thinker is now available. In this report, we share our thoughts on where the market goes from here, performance and holdings updates for our two portfolios (Income Equity and Disciplined Growth), some thoughts on attractive individual stock ideas, and we conclude with our strong opinion on which side you should choose: The Economic Bears or The Stock Market Bulls.
