In theory, Mortgage REITs (or mREITs) do well when interest rates rise, but so far this year they have done poorly because MBS spreads have risen sharply (an indication of risk). Here is a look at 40 big-dividend mREITs, plus some insights on what is happening to their share prices (mainly courtesy of the Fed’s balance sheet), and then a few mREIT investment ideas worth considering.
A Warning from Blue Harbinger
Market Check In: 10,000 Foot View
Intuit Quarterly Earnings Update
Intuit (the financial platform behind TurboTax, QuickBooks, MailChimp, CreditKarma and Mint) released earnings on Tuesday after the close, and they were positive. The company beat expectations on revenue and earnings, and also raised forward earnings guidance. This note is a quick review of the latest results.
Big-Dividend REITs: The Worst and Best Performers YTD
There are around 50 RIETs (traded on NYSE and Nasdaq) that currently offer at least a 5% dividend yield. Here they are sorted by year-to-date performance. While most are down a lot this year, on average the group is down around 12%—about the same as the S&P 500. In particular, there are a few on the list that are worth taking a closer look.
Morning Tea Leaves: Interest Rates Still Driving Markets
Is The Market Ahead of Itself? A few Data Points to Consider
Here is a look at the S&P 500 (including its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages). As you can see, it’s still down significantly this year, but has rebounded hard since June. The question some investors are wondering is if they should take some chips off the table before the downtrend resumes. Afterall, inflation is still sky high, the fed is still raising rates aggressively and your account balance is likely a lot higher than it was 2-months ago. We share a few data points and our opinion in this note.
Chip Stocks Volatile 2022—Weighing the Opportunity Ahead
Here is a look at the volatile performance of some of the largest and most popular semiconductor (chip) stocks so far this year. As you can see based on the green bars, performance has been very strong over the last month, but they are still down a lot this year (red bars). Some investors may view these stocks as still too expensive based on the current valuation (EV/EBITDA), but that is not necessarily the case when you compare these stocks to their strong revenue growth rates (this year and next) and their very healthy net margins.
Two High-Income CEFs Worth Considering
When investing in closed-end funds (CEFs), we look for a variety of things, including a big distribution payment, an attractively-discounted price (versus NAV), reasonable leverage, and attractive management team, and a strategy that can succeed (especially in current market conditions). The following two CEFs meet all of these requirements, and they are particularly interesting and worth considering for investment right now.
S&P 100: 10 Best, 10 Worst (YTD)
50 Top Growth Stocks, Down Big
It’s been an ugly year for top growth stocks. The fed has been raising rates aggressively to battle sky-high inflation, and that has the side effect of causing high growth stocks to sell off particularly hard. For example, here is a look at 50 high-growth stocks (those with very high expected revenue growth rates for this year and next), sorted by market cap (and as you can see—the year-to-date total return column has a lot or red!).
A Warning: As Markets Continue to Rally
70 Yields Over 7% (with Big YTD Price Declines)
With the market posting strong gains over the last month (particularly high growth stocks) it can make sense to focus on areas receiving less attention. And in this report, that includes big-dividend investment opportunities that are still down big year-to-date. More specifically, we share data on 70 investments that currently yield over 7% and have experienced significant share price declines so far this year. The list includes REITs, BDCs, CEFs and more.
The Economic Bears vs The Stock Market Bulls: We have chosen our side!
This month’s Blue Harbinger Thinker is now available. In this report, we share our thoughts on where the market goes from here, performance and holdings updates for our two portfolios (Income Equity and Disciplined Growth), some thoughts on attractive individual stock ideas, and we conclude with our strong opinion on which side you should choose: The Economic Bears or The Stock Market Bulls.
August Portfolio Updates Available
S&P 500: Reasons to Be Afraid
Stocks have posted strong gains over the last 3-weeks, but a lot of investors remain fearful that this year’s painful downtrend will resume. After all, inflation is sky high (9.1% CPI), the fed is expected to hike rates another 50pbs (possibly 75bps) at its next meeting (which will slow economic growth), and the 10-year treasury yield (2.68%) has dipped (over the last 3-weeks) and remains inverted versus the 2.85% 2-year treasury yield (a strong recession indicator).
3 Top Big-Dividend Preferred Stocks Worth Considering
Preferred shares can offer big-yields and less risk than common shares. And given the current market environment, some preferreds are offering particularly compelling opportunities as prices are down, yields are up and underlying businesses remain relatively healthy. This report gives a little more information on preferred shares, and then concludes with three examples that are particularly compelling investments for income-focused investors right now.
Market Update: A Lot Has Changed Recently
As you can see in the following chart, the market (as represented by the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)) has been terrible this year, but things have perked up in recent weeks. This update/report reviews the causes of this year’s declines and the data points supporting continued recent market perkiness. We conclude with our strong opinion on how you may want to position your investment portfolio going forward.
Top Sales Growth Stocks (Enphase Edition)
Here is a look at some of the top revenue growth stocks (this year and next). One thing that may standout is Enphase Energy (ENPH). Enphase is the only name that passed this high-growth screen AND has a positive ytd return (red bars). It also has positive net margins (indigo bars) and an impressive business. Enphase announced very strong earnings yesterday that exceeded expectations (and the company raised guidance). Shares are up more than 15% today so far.
