Quick Note

Software Stocks Are Cheap: Is AI Eating Software?

Briefly sharing some updated data on the absolute blood bath in software stocks as the market believes AI (such as Anthropic’s release of the legal plugin for its large language model Claude) will devour traditional software. Names like Microsoft (MSFT), ServiceNow (NOW) and Adobe (ADBE) are down big—yet still very profitable and growing. Will have more to say soon about specific names, but here is a look at 40+ top software stock ratings from Morningstar (moat ratings, BIG price upside potential and more). In a few years, you may look back and wish you bought more. Enjoy the data!

BH Fear Index: Despite Moody Market, Be Prudently Optimistic

In yet another whipsaw move for the market, investors "bought the dip" driving the BH Sentiment Index from only 20 ("Fear") to now 55 in just one week. It's been a wild and unusual ride over the last 4 weeks as the market "Fear Index" (The VIX) spiked and is now falling, credit spreads widened a bit (and are now shrinking) and growth stocks have come roaring back after the market sold off following Nvidia earnings (which were very good) and now news that Google TCU chips are finding massive inroads with AI.

BH Sentiment Index: Fear Spikes, Value Salivates, Fast-Paced Growth Takes Cover!

"Market Fear" is currently strong, as the BH Market Sentiment Index has fallen from 83 ("extreme greed") just 3 weeks ago to now 20 (teetering on "extreme fear"). The reason is multifaceted, but the market has posted significant gains in recent months (since "Liberation Day") and investors are increasingly concerned about an "AI Bubble," as well as an increasingly hawkish fed (creeping inflation fears) and unsettled trade agreements with South Korea (we import a lot of steel, semiconductors and cars (Kia, Genesis, Hyundai)).

BH Fear & Greed Index: Despite Naysayers, Momentum Still Dominates

BH Fear & Greed Index: Markets regained momentum, confidence and "greed" over the last week as stocks remained near flat but regained their footing as money flowed in (MFI over 50 again for SPY), the VIX (market fear index) calmed down, credit spreads came down/ remain low, and treasury yields remained mostly neutral. Nvidia…

S&P 500 ETF: "How To" for Active Growth Investors

This post will fall on deaf ears, because, quite frankly, it is too sophisticated for most non-professional investors to understand. But it needs to be said. Long-term stock market investing is driven by the market more than your stock picks, and when you don’t know which stocks to buy (with some of your money), do NOT sit in cash, instead sit in a low-cost S&P 500 ETF. Your future bank account will thank you. Here is why…

New Trade: Sold 100% of this High-Flying AI Software Stock

This is a quick note to let readers know I have just sold 100% of my shares in this high-flying big-data software AI company. It has been an incredible ride (the shares are up several hundred percent since purchasing, but the valuation has just gotten to high, and it appears a new sell-off may intensify.